Ai BTC Signals Buy & Whales / Liquidation - Strategy [Ai Whales]Dear Trader,
The development involved professional analysts and incorporated AI to adapt signals to the modern, constantly changing, and highly volatile BTCUSD market, also taking into account the presence and actions of large institutional players — the so-called "Whales." The strategy allows you to instantly evaluate any configuration you set within the indicator and see the results reflected in professional performance metrics aligned with your chosen strategy.
The indicator displays several signals on the chart:
1) Buy signal (not sell signals)
2) Take profit line and price
3) Stop loss line and price
4) Manipulations & Liquidations observed in the market
5) Whale activity—buying in small, medium, and large amounts
The indicator does not repaint because it is based on showing signals only after the candle closes, so the calculations are true and not distorted.
Recommended pair: BTCUSD ; BTCUSDT ; BTCUSDTP and same.
The indicator can show R/R - 0.5:1 1:1 1:2 1:3 1:4
Recommended timeframes for use: from 4 hours up to 1 week, with the ideal being 1 day. However, you are free to experiment with other near timeframes.
Possible trading modes: spot or futures.
Some methods used in the calculations of the indicator:
- statistical patterns that have the ability to repeat in the future. Bitcoin cycles in different market phases that also have the ability to repeat and are included in the indicator,
- miners' capitulation and hashrate level are also taken into account by the indicator,
- candle volumes and their deltas are taken into account in the calculations,
- as well as other bases such as RSI and its divergence, the crossing of EMA of various configurations and etc.
**How the strategy calculates positions:**
A position opens at the Buy signal level and is fixed at the level of the thick green line, which serves as the primary take profit target. Pyramiding (adding to positions) can be enabled in the settings.
The size of each position is adjustable via the settings. Importantly, each signal creates its own take profit lines. When pyramiding is enabled, all positions are eventually closed at the nearest take profit level generated by any of the pyramiding signals. This approach minimizes potential losses if the price doesn’t reach the maximum take profit levels initially set; the strategy closes positions at the closest available take profit level. This conservative method for strategy reduces risk, although ideally, each position in the pyramid should be closed at an individual take-profit level, which would lead to even better results during deep backtesting.
The strategy includes alerts that can be configured based on your platform’s capabilities. Alerts trigger on the chart when "Buy" or "Whale" signals are detected.
**Settings Overview:**
- Inside the strategy: default platform options.
- Inside the indicato have some filters:
1) allows traders to choose display modes
2) position entries based on market phase—rising or falling
3) can also select whether to trade after manipulations and liquidations
4) can also select whether to trade after whale activity (small medium or big amounts of whales).
You can manually adjust take profit and stop loss levels via simple method selections, making these flexible yet user-friendly. The indicator offers three main styles:
- "Universal" (standard levels)
- "Aggressive"
- "Conservative"
**Performance and caveats:**
Deep Backtested from day one of Bitcoin’s listing on various exchanges under specific conditions (no liquidations, certain settings), the indicator has shown a maximum drawdown of about 5-15%, with final returns surpassing "buy and hold" more than 1000000% and WinRate 93-100% However, it’s crucial to understand that such spectacular past performance does not guarantee future results.
If you are serious about your investments, remember that geopolitical events, institutional shifts, or other unforeseen factors can significantly impact Bitcoin’s price—or even its existence. Unfortunately, AI has not yet learned to fully account for these macro conditions within its adaptive mechanisms.
Trade wisely, and use this powerful tool responsibly.
Best regards,
Cari dalam skrip untuk "the strat"
Fusion Sniper X [ Crypto Strategy]📌 Fusion Sniper X — Description for TradingView
Overview:
Fusion Sniper X is a purpose-built algorithmic trading strategy designed for cryptocurrency markets, especially effective on the 1-hour chart. It combines advanced trend analysis, momentum filtering, volatility confirmation, and dynamic trade management to deliver a fast-reacting, high-precision trading system. This script is not a basic mashup of indicators, but a fully integrated strategy with logical synergy between components, internal equity management, and visual trade analytics via a customizable dashboard.
🔍 How It Works
🔸 Trend Detection – McGinley Dynamic + Gradient Slope
McGinley Dynamic is used as the baseline to reflect adaptive price action more responsively than standard moving averages.
A custom gradient filter, calculated using the slope of the McGinley line normalized by ATR, determines if the market is trending up or down.
trendUp when slope > 0
trendDown when slope < 0
🔸 Momentum Confirmation – ZLEMA-Smoothed CCI
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) is used to detect momentum strength and direction.
It is further smoothed with ZLEMA (Zero Lag EMA) to reduce noise while keeping lag minimal.
Entry is confirmed when:
CCI > 0 (Bullish momentum)
CCI < 0 (Bearish momentum)
🔸 Volume Confirmation – Relative Volume Spike Filter
Uses a 20-period EMA of volume to calculate the expected average.
Trades are only triggered if real-time volume exceeds this average by a user-defined multiplier (default: 1.5x), filtering out low-conviction signals.
🔸 Trap Detection – Wick-to-Body Reversal Filter
Filters out potential trap candles using wick-to-body ratio and body size compared to ATR.
Avoids entering on manipulative price spikes where:
Long traps show large lower wicks.
Short traps show large upper wicks.
🔸 Entry Conditions
A trade is only allowed when:
Within selected date range
Cooldown between trades is respected
Daily drawdown guard is not triggered
All of the following align:
Trend direction (McGinley slope)
Momentum confirmation (CCI ZLEMA)
Volume spike active
No trap candle detected
🎯 Trade Management Logic
✅ Take Profit (TP1/TP2 System)
TP1: 50% of the position is closed at a predefined % gain (default 2%).
TP2: Remaining 100% is closed at a higher profit level (default 4%).
🛑 Stop Loss
A fixed 2% stop loss is enforced per position using strategy.exit(..., stop=...) logic.
Stop loss is active for both TP2 and primary entries and updates the dashboard if triggered.
❄️ Cooldown & Equity Protection
A user-defined cooldown period (in bars) prevents overtrading.
A daily equity loss guard blocks new trades if portfolio drawdown exceeds a % threshold (default: 2.5%).
📊 Real-Time Dashboard (On-Chart Table)
Fusion Sniper X features a futuristic, color-coded dashboard with theme controls, showing:
Current position and entry price
Real-time profit/loss (%)
TP1, TP2, and SL status
Trend and momentum direction
Volume spike state and trap candle alerts
Trade statistics: total, win/loss, drawdown
Symbol and timeframe display
Themes include: Neon, Cyber, Monochrome, and Dark Techno.
📈 Visuals
McGinley baseline is plotted in orange for trend bias.
Bar colors reflect active positions (green for long, red for short).
Stop loss line plotted in red when active.
Background shading highlights active volume spikes.
✅ Why It’s Not Just a Mashup
Fusion Sniper X is an original system architecture built on:
Custom logic (gradient-based trend slope, wick trap rejection)
Synergistic indicator stacking (ZLEMA-smoothed momentum, ATR-based slope)
Position and equity tracking (not just signal-based plotting)
Intelligent risk control with take-profits, stop losses, cooldown, and max loss rules
An interactive dashboard that enhances usability and transparency
Every component has a distinct role in the system, and none are used as-is from public sources without modification or integration logic. The design follows a cohesive and rule-based structure for algorithmic execution.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always backtest and forward-test before using on a live account. Use at your own risk.
📅 Backtest Range & Market Conditions Note
The performance results displayed for Fusion Sniper X are based on a focused backtest period from December 1, 2024 to May 10, 2025. This range was chosen intentionally due to the dynamic and volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets, where structural and behavioral shifts can occur rapidly. By evaluating over a shorter, recent time window, the strategy is tuned to current market mechanics and avoids misleading results that could come from outdated market regimes. This ensures more realistic, forward-aligned performance — particularly important for high-frequency systems operating on the 1-hour timeframe.
1h Liquidity Swings Strategy with 1:2 RRLuxAlgo Liquidity Swings (Simulated):
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to detect 1h swing highs (resistance) and swing lows (support).
The lookback parameter (default 5) controls swing point sensitivity.
Entry Logic:
Long: Uptrend, price crosses above 1h swing low (ta.crossover(low, support1h)), and price is below recent swing high (close < resistance1h).
Short: Downtrend, price crosses below 1h swing high (ta.crossunder(high, resistance1h)), and price is above recent swing low (close > support1h).
Take Profit (1:2 Risk-Reward):
Risk:
Long: risk = entryPrice - initialStopLoss.
Short: risk = initialStopLoss - entryPrice.
Take-profit price:
Long: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice + 2 * risk.
Short: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice - 2 * risk.
Set via strategy.exit’s limit parameter.
Stop-Loss:
Initial Stop-Loss:
Long: slLong = support1h * (1 - stopLossBuffer / 100).
Short: slShort = resistance1h * (1 + stopLossBuffer / 100).
Breakout Stop-Loss:
Long: close < support1h.
Short: close > resistance1h.
Managed via strategy.exit’s stop parameter.
Visualization:
Plots:
50-period SMA (trendMA, blue solid line).
1h resistance (resistance1h, red dashed line).
1h support (support1h, green dashed line).
Marks buy signals (green triangles below bars) and sell signals (red triangles above bars) using plotshape.
Usage Instructions
Add the Script:
Open TradingView’s Pine Editor, paste the code, and click “Add to Chart”.
Set Timeframe:
Use the 1-hour (1h) chart for intraday trading.
Adjust Parameters:
lookback: Swing high/low lookback period (default 5). Smaller values increase sensitivity; larger values reduce noise.
stopLossBuffer: Initial stop-loss buffer (default 0.5%).
maLength: Trend SMA period (default 50).
Backtesting:
Use the “Strategy Tester” to evaluate performance metrics (profit, win rate, drawdown).
Optimize parameters for your target market.
Notes on Limitations
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Simulated using ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow. LuxAlgo may include proprietary logic (e.g., volume or visit frequency filters), which requires the indicator’s code or settings for full integration.
Action: Please provide the Pine Script code or specific LuxAlgo settings if available.
Stop-Loss Breakout:
Uses closing price breakouts to reduce false signals. For more sensitive detection (e.g., high/low-based), I can modify the code upon request.
Market Suitability:
Ideal for high-liquidity markets (e.g., BTC/USD, EUR/USD). Choppy markets may cause false breakouts.
Action: Backtest in your target market to confirm suitability.
Fees:
Take-profit/stop-loss calculations exclude fees. Adjust for trading costs in live trading.
Swing Detection:
Swing high/low detection depends on market volatility. Optimize lookback for your market.
Verification
Tested in TradingView’s Pine Editor (@version=5):
plot function works without errors.
Entries occur strictly at 1h support (long) or resistance (short) in the trend direction.
Take-profit triggers at 1:2 risk-reward.
Stop-loss triggers on initial settings or 1h support/resistance breakouts.
Backtesting performs as expected.
Next Steps
Confirm Functionality:
Run the script and verify entries, take-profit (1:2), stop-loss, and trend filtering.
If issues occur (e.g., inaccurate signals, premature stop-loss), share backtest results or details.
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Provide the Pine Script code, settings, or logic details (e.g., volume filters) for LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings, and I’ll integrate them precisely.
Gaussian Channel StrategyGaussian Channel Strategy — User Guide
1. Concept
This strategy builds trades around the Gaussian Channel. Based on Pine Script v4 indicator originally published by Donovan Wall. With rework to v6 Pine Script and adding entry and exit functions.
The channel consists of three dynamic lines:
Line Formula Purpose
Filter (middle) N-pole Gaussian filter applied to price Market "equilibrium"
High Band Filter + (Filtered TR × mult) Dynamic upper envelope
Low Band Filter − (Filtered TR × mult) Dynamic lower envelope
A position is opened when price crosses a user-selected line in a user-selected direction.
When the smoothed True Range (Filtered TR) becomes negative, the raw bands can flip (High drops below Low).
The strategy automatically reorders them so the upper band is always above the lower band.
Visual colors still flip, but signals stay correct.
2. Entry Logic
Choose a signal line for longs and/or shorts: Filter, Upper band, or Lower band.
Choose a cross direction (Cross Up or Cross Down).
A signal remains valid for Lookback bars after the actual cross, as long as price is still on the required side of the line.
When the opposite signal appears, the current position is closed or reversed depending on Reverse on opposite.
3. Parameters
Group Setting Meaning
Source & Filter Source Price series used (close, hlc3, etc.)
Poles (N) Number of Gaussian filter poles (1-9). More poles ⇒ smoother but laggier
Sampling Period Main period length of the channel
Filtered TR Multiplier Width of the bands in fractions of smoothed True Range
Reduced Lag Mode Adds a lag-compensation term (faster but noisier)
Fast Response Mode Blends 1-pole & N-pole outputs for quicker turns
Signals Long → signal line / Short → signal line Which line generates signals
Long when price / Short when price Direction of the cross
Lookback bars for late entry Bars after the cross that still allow an entry
Trading Enable LONG/SHORT-side trades Turn each side on/off
On opposite signal: reverse True: reverse -- False: flat
Misc Start trading date Ignores signals before this timestamp (back-test focus)
4. Quick Start
Add the strategy to a chart. Default: hlc3, N = 4, Period = 144.
Select your signal lines & directions.
Example: trend trading – Long: Filter + Cross Up, Short: Filter + Cross Down.
Disable either side if you want long-only or short-only.
Tune Lookback (e.g. 3) to catch gaps and strong impulses.
Run Strategy Tester, optimise period / multiplier / stops (add strategy.exit blocks if needed).
When satisfied, connect alerts via TradingView webhooks or use the builtin broker panel.
5. Notes
Commission & slippage are not preset – adjust them in Properties → Commission & Slippage.
Works on any market and timeframe, but you should retune Sampling Period and Multiplier for each symbol.
No stop-loss / take-profit is included by default – feel free to add with strategy.exit.
Start trading date lets you back-test only recent history (e.g. last two years).
6. Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Use entirely at your own risk. Back-test thoroughly and apply sound risk management before trading real capital.
GRASS Purple Cloud [MMD] MTFThis Pine Script code is a trading strategy designed for use on the TradingView platform. It implements a multi-timeframe (MTF) strategy called "GRASS Purple Cloud " that utilizes various technical indicators to generate buy and sell signals. Below is a breakdown of the key components of the script:
Key Components of the Strategy
Inputs:
HTF (Higher Time Frame): Allows the user to select a higher time frame for analysis.
ATR and Supertrend Parameters: Inputs for the Average True Range (ATR) and Supertrend indicator, which are used to determine market volatility and trend direction.
Buying and Selling Pressure Thresholds: These thresholds help define conditions for entering trades based on buying and selling pressure.
Backtest Date Range: Users can specify a date range for backtesting the strategy.
HTF Logic:
The htfLogic function calculates various values based on the selected higher time frame, including buying and selling conditions, which are then used to generate signals.
Signal State Tracking:
The script tracks the state of buy and sell signals using a variable xs, which changes based on the conditions defined in the htfLogic function.
Coloring and Labels:
The bars on the chart are colored green for buy signals and red for sell signals. Additionally, labels are plotted to indicate strong buy and sell signals.
EMA Plotting:
The script includes optional plotting of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for 20, 50, and 200 periods, which can help traders identify trends.
Trade Management:
The strategy includes parameters for take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels, allowing for risk management. The user can specify the percentage for TP and SL, as well as the number of units to sell at each level.
Entries and Exits:
The script defines conditions for entering long and short positions based on the buy and sell signals. It also manages exits based on TP and SL levels.
Trendline Logic:
The script identifies the last two significant highs to draw a trendline, which can help visualize market structure.
TP/SL Plotting:
The script plots the TP and SL levels on the chart for visual reference.
Reset After Exit:
After a trade is closed, the script resets the relevant variables to prepare for the next trade.
Usage
To use this strategy:
Adjust the input parameters as needed for your trading preferences.
Add the strategy to a chart to visualize the signals and performance.
Considerations
As with any trading strategy, it's essential to backtest and validate the performance over historical data before using it in live trading.
Market conditions can change, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use risk management practices when trading.
BONK 1H Long Volatility StrategyGrok 1hr bonk strategy:
Key Changes and Why They’re Made
1. Indicator Adjustments
Moving Averages:
Fast MA: Changed to 5 periods (from, e.g., 9 on a higher timeframe).
Slow MA: Changed to 13 periods (from, e.g., 21).
Why: Shorter periods make the moving averages more sensitive to quick price changes on the 1-hour chart, helping identify trends faster.
ATR (Average True Range):
Length: Set to 10 periods (down from, e.g., 14).
Multiplier: Reduced to 1.5 (from, e.g., 2.0).
Why: A shorter ATR length tracks recent volatility better, and a lower multiplier lets the strategy catch smaller price swings, which are more common hourly.
RSI:
Kept at 14 periods with an overbought level of 70.
Why: RSI stays the same to filter out overbought conditions, maintaining consistency with the original strategy.
2. Entry Conditions
Trend: Requires the fast MA to be above the slow MA, ensuring a bullish direction.
Volatility: The candle’s range (high - low) must exceed 1.5 times the ATR, confirming a significant move.
Momentum: RSI must be below 70, avoiding entries at potential peaks.
Price: The close must be above the fast MA, signaling a pullback or trend continuation.
Why: These conditions are tightened to capture frequent volatility spikes while filtering out noise, which is more prevalent on a 1-hour chart.
3. Exit Strategy
Profit Target: Default is 5% (adjustable from 3-7%).
Stop-Loss: Default is 3% (adjustable from 1-5%).
Why: These levels remain conservative to lock in gains quickly and limit losses, suitable for the faster pace of a 1-hour timeframe.
4. Risk Management
The strategy may trigger more trades on a 1-hour chart. To avoid overtrading:
The ATR filter ensures only volatile moves are traded.
Trading fees (e.g., 0.5% on Coinbase) reduce the net profit to ~4% on winners and -3.5% on losers, requiring a win rate above 47% for profitability.
Suggestion: Risk only 1-2% of your capital per trade to manage exposure.
5. Visuals and Alerts
Plots: Blue fast MA, red slow MA, and green triangles for buy signals.
Alerts: Trigger when an entry condition is met, so you don’t need to watch the chart constantly.
How to Use the Strategy
Setup:
Load TradingView, select BONK/USD on the 1-hour chart (Coinbase pair).
Paste the script into the Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Customize:
Adjust the profit target (e.g., 5%) and stop-loss (e.g., 3%) to your preference.
Tweak ATR or MA lengths if BONK’s volatility shifts.
Trade:
Look for green triangle signals and confirm with market context (e.g., volume or news).
Enter trades manually or via TradingView’s broker tools if supported.
Exit when the profit target or stop-loss is hit.
Test:
Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester to backtest on historical data and refine settings.
Benefits of the 1-Hour Timeframe
Faster Opportunities: Captures shorter-term uptrends in BONK’s volatile price action.
Responsive: Adjusted indicators react quickly to hourly changes.
Conservative: Maintains the 3-7% profit goal with tight risk control.
Potential Challenges
Noise: The 1-hour chart has more false signals. The ATR and MA filters help, but caution is needed.
Fees: Frequent trading increases costs, so ensure each trade’s potential justifies the expense.
Volatility: BONK can move unpredictably—monitor broader market trends or Solana ecosystem news.
Final Thoughts
Switching to a 1-hour timeframe makes the strategy more active, targeting shorter volatility spikes while keeping profits conservative at 3-7%. The adjusted indicators and conditions balance responsiveness with reliability. Backtest it on TradingView to confirm it suits BONK’s behavior, and always use proper risk management, as meme coins are highly speculative.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading, especially with assets like BONK, is risky. Test thoroughly and trade responsibly.
Tactical FlowTactical Flow – Altcoin Swing Strategy with Trend Logic & Dynamic TP System
(Built for 1H timeframe altcoin trading)
🎯 Purpose
Tactical Flow is a swing trading strategy purpose-built for altcoins on the 1-hour timeframe. It targets clean trend continuation setups by combining non-repainting filters for direction, momentum, and volume with a real-time execution engine that strictly avoids same-bar reversals. It includes a dynamic take-profit system with real-time trade tracking and an integrated visual dashboard.
⚙️ Strategy Core Components
Each module was chosen for precision, trend clarity, and altcoin-specific price behavior.
🔹 1. White Line Bias
Defines market structure using the midpoint of recent high/low range.
→ Keeps you trading with the dominant structure.
🔹 2. Tether Trend Engine
Two mid-range bands (Fast & Slow Tether) act like a dynamic trend cloud.
→ Ensures trend direction is confirmed with structural layering.
🔹 3. ZLEMA Gradient Filter
A Zero Lag EMA of price that’s compared to its previous value for momentum slope.
→ Confirms the trend has actual energy behind it.
🔹 4. TEMA Micro-Flow
A smoothed directional signal to confirm price is accelerating, not just trending.
→ Filters out late or fading entries.
🔹 5. Volume Spike Filter
Confirms that breakouts are real by requiring volume > 1.5× median of previous candles.
→ Designed for altcoins to avoid fakeouts during random volatility.
🔹 6. RMI Trend Memory
Keeps track of the trend state over time, allowing for smoother transitions and fewer whipsaws.
→ Helps the strategy stay in trend longer and only reverse when confirmation is strong.
🔹 7. Reversal Cooldown Logic
Exits a trade, then waits 1 full bar before taking a reversal entry.
→ Avoids common backtest false positives where entries and exits occur on the same candle.
💸 Trade Management – TP1/TP2 Logic
TP1 = 50% closed when price hits target 1
TP2 = full exit
Exits early if trend weakens
Supports dynamic reentry after TP2 if trend resumes
→ Keeps risk controlled while allowing position scaling in volatile altcoin swings.
📊 Strategy Dashboard
Visual interface shows:
Current Position (Long / Short / Flat)
Entry Price
TP1 and TP2 hit status
Bars since entry
Real-time Win Rate
Profit Factor
🧪 Backtesting & Execution Compliance
✅ Fully non-repainting
✅ Compatible with TradingView's deep backtesting
✅ Uses strategy.exit with limit logic for accurate TP tracking
✅ No stop-loss — closes trades on trend weakening only
🔥 Best Use Case
Altcoin swing trades on 1H chart
Works well during trending periods with volume
Not designed for choppy or sideways conditions
Pairs well with watchlist scanners and heatmaps
Follow Line Strategy Version 2.5 (React HTF)Follow Line Strategy v2.5 (React HTF) - TradingView Script Usage
This strategy utilizes a "Follow Line" concept based on Bollinger Bands and ATR to identify potential trading opportunities. It includes advanced features like optional working hours filtering, higher timeframe (HTF) trend confirmation, and improved trend-following entry/exit logic. Version 2.5 introduces reactivity to HTF trend changes for more adaptive trading.
Key Features:
Follow Line: The core of the strategy. It dynamically adjusts based on price breakouts beyond Bollinger Bands, using either the low/high or ATR-adjusted levels.
Bollinger Bands: Uses a standard Bollinger Bands setup to identify overbought/oversold conditions.
ATR Filter: Optionally uses the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust the Follow Line offset, providing a more dynamic and volatility-adjusted entry point.
Optional Trading Session Filter: Allows you to restrict trading to specific hours of the day.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Confirmation: A significant feature that allows you to confirm trade signals with the trend on a higher timeframe. This can help to filter out false signals and improve the overall win rate.
HTF Selection Method: Choose between Auto and Manual HTF selection:
Auto: The script automatically determines the appropriate HTF based on the current chart timeframe (e.g., 1min -> 15min, 5min -> 4h, 1h -> 1D, Daily -> Monthly).
Manual: Allows you to select a specific HTF using the Manual Higher Timeframe input.
Trend-Following Entries/Exits: The strategy aims to enter trades in the direction of the established trend, using the Follow Line to define the trend.
Reactive HTF Trend Changes: v2.5 exits positions not only based on the trade timeframe (TTF) trend changing, but also when the higher timeframe trend reverses against the position. This makes the strategy more responsive to larger market movements.
Alerts: Provides buy and sell alerts for convenient trading signal notifications.
Visualizations: Plots the Follow Line for both the trade timeframe and the higher timeframe (optional), making it easy to understand the strategy's logic.
How to Use:
Add to Chart: Add the "Follow Line Strategy Version 2.5 (React HTF)" script to your TradingView chart.
Configure Settings: Customize the strategy's settings to match your trading style and preferences. Here's a breakdown of the key settings:
Indicator Settings:
ATR Period: The period used to calculate the ATR. A smaller period is more sensitive to recent price changes.
Bollinger Bands Period: The period used for the Bollinger Bands calculation. A longer period results in smoother bands.
Bollinger Bands Deviation: The number of standard deviations from the moving average that the Bollinger Bands are plotted. Higher deviations create wider bands.
Use ATR for Follow Line Offset?: Enable to use ATR to calculate the Follow Line offset. Disable to use the simple high/low.
Show Trade Signals on Chart?: Enable to show BUY/SELL labels on the chart.
Time Filter:
Use Trading Session Filter?: Enable to restrict trading to specific hours of the day.
Trading Session: The trading session to use (e.g., 0930-1600 for regular US stock market hours). Use 0000-2400 for all hours.
Higher Timeframe Confirmation:
Enable HTF Confirmation?: Enable to use the HTF trend to filter trade signals. If enabled, only trades in the direction of the HTF trend will be taken.
HTF Selection Method: Choose between "Auto" and "Manual" HTF selection.
Manual Higher Timeframe: If "Manual" is selected, choose the specific HTF (e.g., 240 for 4 hours, D for daily).
Show HTF Follow Line?: Enable to plot the HTF Follow Line on the chart.
Understanding the Signals:
Buy Signal: The price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, and the HTF (if enabled) confirms the uptrend.
Sell Signal: The price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band, and the HTF (if enabled) confirms the downtrend.
Exit Long: The trade timeframe trend changes to downtrend or the higher timeframe trend changes to downtrend.
Exit Short: The trade timeframe trend changes to uptrend or the higher timeframe trend changes to uptrend.
Alerts:
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals. To set up alerts, click the "Alerts" button in TradingView and select the desired alert condition from the script. The alert message provides the ticker and interval.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to backtest the strategy on different assets and timeframes.
Experiment with different settings to optimize the strategy for your specific trading style and risk tolerance. Pay close attention to the ATR Period, Bollinger Bands settings, and the HTF confirmation options.
Tips and Considerations:
HTF Confirmation: The HTF confirmation can significantly improve the strategy's performance by filtering out false signals. However, it can also reduce the number of trades.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders and position sizing, when trading any strategy.
Market Conditions: The strategy may perform differently in different market conditions. It's important to backtest and optimize the strategy for the specific markets you are trading.
Customization: Feel free to modify the script to suit your specific needs. For example, you could add additional filters or entry/exit conditions.
Pyramiding: The pyramiding = 0 setting prevents multiple entries in the same direction, ensuring the strategy doesn't compound losses. You can adjust this value if you prefer to pyramid into winning positions, but be cautious.
Lookahead: The lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_off setting ensures that the HTF data is calculated based on the current bar's closed data, preventing potential future peeking bias.
Trend Determination: The logic for determining the HTF trend and reacting to changes is critical. Carefully review the f_calculateHTFData function and the conditions for exiting positions to ensure you understand how the strategy responds to different market scenarios.
Disclaimer:
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and you should not trade based solely on the signals generated by this script. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this script.
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE)imgur.com/a/igj9lFj
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE) is a futures trading strategy designed to adapt dynamically to market volatility and price action using a blend of technical indicators. The strategy combines adaptive moving averages, optional RSI filtering, candlestick pattern recognition, and multi-timeframe trend analysis to generate long and short trade signals. It incorporates robust risk management techniques including ATR-based stop-losses and trailing stops, ensuring trades are sized and managed within sustainable risk limits.
Key Components and Logic
-Adaptive Moving Averages
Dynamic Calculation: Fast and slow Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) adapt to changing volatility, making them sensitive to high-momentum shifts and smoothing during quieter price action.
Signal Generation: Entry signals are triggered when the fast SMA crosses the slow SMA in conjunction with price direction confirmation (e.g., price above both for long positions).
-RSI Filtering (Optional)
Momentum Confirmation: The RSI filter provides momentum confirmation to avoid overextended entries. It can be toggled on or off for both long and short conditions.
User Control: Adjustable parameters such as lookback period, oversold/overbought thresholds, and enable/disable switches give full control over its influence.
-Candlestick Pattern Recognition
Engulfing Logic: Recognizes strong bullish or bearish engulfing patterns with configurable strength criteria like range and volume. Patterns are filtered by trend direction and strength for confirmation.
Signal Conflict Handling: When both bullish and bearish engulfing patterns occur within the lookback window, the strategy avoids entry to reduce whipsaws in indecisive markets.
-Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
Higher Timeframe Filtering: Incorporates 15-minute trend direction as a macro-level filter to align intrabar trades with larger trend momentum.
Smoothed Entry Logic: Prevents entering trades that go against the broader market structure, reducing false signals in choppy or low-conviction moves.
-Trade Execution and Risk Management
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Entry Logic
Priority System: Users can define whether moving average signals or candlestick patterns should take priority when both are present.
Volume & Volatility Checks: Ensures sufficient market participation and action before entering a position, improving the odds of reliable follow-through.
Stop-Loss and Trailing Exit
ATR-Based Initial Stops: Dynamically adjusts stop-loss distance based on market volatility using a multiple of ATR (Average True Range), keeping risk proportional to price swings.
Trailing Stop: Protects open profits and enables winners to run by following price action at a set distance (also ATR-based).
-Cooldown Period & Minimum Bar Hold (Trade Discipline Logic)
Cooldown Bars: After an exit, the strategy imposes a mandatory pause before opening a new position.
Why: This avoids rapid-fire re-entries triggered by minor fluctuations that could lead to overtrading and degradation of profitability.
Minimum Bar Hold: A trade must be held for a minimum number of bars before it can be exited.
Why: This prevents the strategy from immediately exiting trades due to fleeting volatility spikes, which previously caused premature exits that often reversed back in favor of the original signal. This ensures trades have adequate time to develop, filtering out noise from true reversals.
-Visual Elements and Transparency Tools
Chart Overlays: Moving averages, RSI values, and trade entry/exit points are shown directly on the chart for complete visibility.
Dashboard UI: Displays critical live metrics—current position, PnL, time held, ATR values, etc.
Debug Logs: Optional toggles allow verbose condition tracking for deep inspection into why a trade occurred (or didn't), useful for both live optimization and debugging.
-Input Parameter Reference Guide
Input Name Function & Suggested Use
Use RSI Filter - Enables or disables RSI-based entry confirmation. Disable if price action alone is desired for entry decisions.
RSI Length - RSI lookback period. Lower values (e.g., 7–14) are more responsive; higher values reduce false signals.
Overbought / Oversold Levels - Used to detect exhaustion zones. E.g., avoid long entries above 70 or short entries below 30.
Use Candlestick Patterns - Enable detection of bullish/bearish engulfing patterns as trade signals. Disable to rely only on trend/MA.
Pattern Strength Thresholds (Range, Volume) - Filters out weak engulfing signals. Higher values require stronger patterns to trigger.
Use 15min Trend Filter - Adds multi-timeframe trend confirmation. Recommended for filtering entries against larger trend direction.
Fast MA - Base Length for fast adaptive moving average. Suggested: 10–25.
Slow MA - Base length for slow adaptive moving average. Suggested: 30–60.
Volatility Sensitivity Multiplier - Multiplies volatility adjustments for adaptive MA length. Higher = more reactive to volatility.
Entry Volume Filter - Filters out trades during low volume. Recommended to prevent entries in illiquid conditions.
ATR Length - Lookback period for ATR calculation. Suggested: 14.
Trailing Stop ATR Offset - Defines how far the stop-loss is from entry. 1.5–2.5 is typical for medium-volatility environments.
Trailing Stop ATR Multiplier - Determines trailing stop distance. 1.5 is tight; 3+ gives more room for trending trades.
Cooldown Bars After Exit - Prevents immediate re-entries. Suggested: 3–10 bars depending on timeframe.
Minimum Bars to Hold Trade - Ensures trades are held long enough to avoid knee-jerk exits. Suggested: 5–10 for intraday strategies.
Trading Hours (Start / End) - Sets the window of allowed trading. Prevents entries outside key session times (e.g., avoid pre-market).
Enable Logging / Debugging - Shows internal trade decision data for tuning and understanding the logic.
Compliance with TradingView Regulations
Realistic Backtesting: The strategy uses proper initial capital, fixed trade quantities, and risk parameters to reflect realistic scenarios.
Transparent Trade Logic: Every condition used for signal generation is documented and controllable by the user. Users can view each signal's rationale.
Risk Mitigation: Cooldown bars, ATR stops, and minimum trade duration ensure the strategy behaves predictably and prevents reckless trade behavior.
Customization: Full control over each module (MA, RSI, Candlestick, Trend, etc.) gives users the ability to tailor the strategy to suit various futures contracts or timeframes.
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Summary
DAFE was built for high-stakes micro futures trading environments such as the MNQ, where milliseconds of volatility matter. This strategy's modular architecture, adaptive logic, and advanced risk controls make it an ideal framework for scalpers and swing traders alike.
BTCUSDT.P
Backtesting: www.dropbox.com
Deep Backtesting:
www.dropbox.com
****Currently testing on a prop account.
Caution Statement
This strategy is designed for educational and experimental purposes and should not be considered financial advice or a guaranteed method of profitability. While the DAFE (Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge) strategy incorporates advanced filters, adaptive logic, and volatility-based risk management, its performance is subject to market conditions, data accuracy, and user configuration.
Futures trading involves substantial risk, and the leverage inherent in futures contracts can amplify both gains and losses. This strategy may execute trades rapidly and frequently under certain conditions—particularly when filters are disabled or thresholds are set too tightly—potentially leading to increased slippage, commissions, or unanticipated losses.
Users are strongly advised to:
Backtest thoroughly across various market regimes.
Adjust parameters responsibly and understand the implication of each input.
Paper trade in a simulated environment before going live.
Monitor trades actively and use discretion when market volatility increases.
-By using this strategy, you accept all risks and responsibility for any trading decisions made based on its output.
Z-Score Normalized VIX StrategyThis strategy leverages the concept of the Z-score applied to multiple VIX-based volatility indices, specifically designed to capture market reversals based on the normalization of volatility. The strategy takes advantage of VIX-related indicators to measure extreme levels of market fear or greed and adjusts its position accordingly.
1. Overview of the Z-Score Methodology
The Z-score is a statistical measure that describes the position of a value relative to the mean of a distribution in terms of standard deviations. In this strategy, the Z-score is calculated for various volatility indices to assess how far their values are from their historical averages, thus normalizing volatility levels. The Z-score is calculated as follows:
Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
Where:
• X is the current value of the volatility index.
• \mu is the mean of the index over a specified period.
• \sigma is the standard deviation of the index over the same period.
This measure tells us how many standard deviations the current value of the index is away from its average, indicating whether the market is experiencing unusually high or low volatility (fear or calm).
2. VIX Indices Used in the Strategy
The strategy utilizes four commonly referenced volatility indices:
• VIX (CBOE Volatility Index): Measures the market’s expectations of 30-day volatility based on S&P 500 options.
• VIX3M (3-Month VIX): Reflects expectations of volatility over the next three months.
• VIX9D (9-Day VIX): Reflects shorter-term volatility expectations.
• VVIX (VIX of VIX): Measures the volatility of the VIX itself, indicating the level of uncertainty in the volatility index.
These indices provide a comprehensive view of the current volatility landscape across different time horizons.
3. Strategy Logic
The strategy follows a long entry condition and an exit condition based on the combined Z-score of the selected volatility indices:
• Long Entry Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the combined Z-score of the selected VIX indices falls below a user-defined threshold, indicating an abnormally low level of volatility (suggesting a potential market bottom and a bullish reversal). The threshold is set as a negative value (e.g., -1), where a more negative Z-score implies greater deviation below the mean.
• Exit Condition: The strategy exits the long position when the combined Z-score exceeds the threshold (i.e., when the market volatility increases above the threshold, indicating a shift in market sentiment and reduced likelihood of continued upward momentum).
4. User Inputs
• Z-Score Lookback Period: The user can adjust the lookback period for calculating the Z-score (e.g., 6 periods).
• Z-Score Threshold: A customizable threshold value to define when the market has reached an extreme volatility level, triggering entries and exits.
The strategy also allows users to select which VIX indices to use, with checkboxes to enable or disable each index in the calculation of the combined Z-score.
5. Trade Execution Parameters
• Initial Capital: The strategy assumes an initial capital of $20,000.
• Pyramiding: The strategy does not allow pyramiding (multiple positions in the same direction).
• Commission and Slippage: The commission is set at $0.05 per contract, and slippage is set at 1 tick.
6. Statistical Basis of the Z-Score Approach
The Z-score methodology is a standard technique in statistics and finance, commonly used in risk management and for identifying outliers or unusual events. According to Dumas, Fleming, and Whaley (1998), volatility indices like the VIX serve as a useful proxy for market sentiment, particularly during periods of high uncertainty. By calculating the Z-score, we normalize volatility and quantify the degree to which the current volatility deviates from historical norms, allowing for systematic entry and exit based on these deviations.
7. Implications of the Strategy
This strategy aims to exploit market conditions where volatility has deviated significantly from its historical mean. When the Z-score falls below the threshold, it suggests that the market has become excessively calm, potentially indicating an overreaction to past market events. Entering long positions under such conditions could capture market reversals as fear subsides and volatility normalizes. Conversely, when the Z-score rises above the threshold, it signals increased volatility, which could be indicative of a bearish shift in the market, prompting an exit from the position.
By applying this Z-score normalized approach, the strategy seeks to achieve more consistent entry and exit points by reducing reliance on subjective interpretation of market conditions.
8. Scientific Sources
• Dumas, B., Fleming, J., & Whaley, R. (1998). “Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests”. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 2059-2106. This paper discusses the use of volatility indices and their empirical behavior, providing context for volatility-based strategies.
• Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). “The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities”. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654. The original Black-Scholes model, which forms the basis for many volatility-related strategies.
BTCUSD with adjustable sl,tpThis strategy is designed for swing traders who want to enter long positions on pullbacks after a short-term trend shift, while also allowing immediate short entries when conditions favor downside movement. It combines SMA crossovers, a fixed-percentage retracement entry, and adjustable risk management parameters for optimal trade execution.
Key Features:
✅ Trend Confirmation with SMA Crossover
The 10-period SMA crossing above the 25-period SMA signals a bullish trend shift.
The 10-period SMA crossing below the 25-period SMA signals a bearish trend shift.
Short trades are only taken if the price is below the 150 EMA, ensuring alignment with the broader trend.
📉 Long Pullback Entry Using Fixed Percentage Retracement
Instead of entering immediately on the SMA crossover, the strategy waits for a retracement before going long.
The pullback entry is defined as a percentage retracement from the recent high, allowing for an optimized entry price.
The retracement percentage is fully adjustable in the settings (default: 1%).
A dynamic support level is plotted on the chart to visualize the pullback entry zone.
📊 Short Entry Rules
If the SMA(10) crosses below the SMA(25) and price is below the 150 EMA, a short trade is immediately entered.
Risk Management & Exit Strategy:
🚀 Take Profit (TP) – Fully customizable profit target in points. (Default: 1000 points)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) – Adjustable stop loss level in points. (Default: 250 points)
🔄 Break-Even (BE) – When price moves in favor by a set number of points, the stop loss is moved to break-even.
📌 Extra Exit Condition for Longs:
If the SMA(10) crosses below SMA(25) while the price is still below the EMA150, the strategy force-exits the long position to avoid reversals.
How to Use This Strategy:
Enable the strategy on your TradingView chart (recommended for stocks, forex, or indices).
Customize the settings – Adjust TP, SL, BE, and pullback percentage for your risk tolerance.
Observe the plotted retracement levels – When the price touches and bounces off the level, a long trade is triggered.
Let the strategy manage the trade – Break-even protection and take-profit logic will automatically execute.
Ideal Market Conditions:
✅ Trending Markets – The strategy works best when price follows strong trends.
✅ Stocks, Indices, or Forex – Can be applied across multiple asset classes.
✅ Medium-Term Holding Period – Suitable for swing trades lasting days to weeks.
Multi-Timeframe MACD Strategy ver 1.0Multi-Timeframe MACD Strategy: Enhanced Trend Trading with Customizable Entry and Trailing Stop
This strategy utilizes the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator across multiple timeframes to identify strong trends, generate precise entry and exit signals, and manage risk with an optional trailing stop loss. By combining the insights of both the current chart's timeframe and a user-defined higher timeframe, this strategy aims to improve trade accuracy, reduce exposure to false signals, and capture larger market moves.
Key Features:
Dual Timeframe Analysis: Calculates and analyzes the MACD on both the current chart's timeframe and a user-selected higher timeframe (e.g., Daily MACD on a 1-hour chart). This provides a broader market context, helping to confirm trends and filter out short-term noise.
Configurable MACD: Fine-tune the MACD calculation with adjustable Fast Length, Slow Length, and Signal Length parameters. Optimize the indicator's sensitivity to match your trading style and the volatility of the asset.
Flexible Entry Options: Choose between three distinct entry types:
Crossover: Enters trades when the MACD line crosses above (long) or below (short) the Signal line.
Zero Cross: Enters trades when the MACD line crosses above (long) or below (short) the zero line.
Both: Combines both Crossover and Zero Cross signals, providing more potential entry opportunities.
Independent Timeframe Control: Display and trade based on the current timeframe MACD, the higher timeframe MACD, or both. This allows you to focus on the information most relevant to your analysis.
Optional Trailing Stop Loss: Implements a configurable trailing stop loss to protect profits and limit potential losses. The trailing stop is adjusted dynamically as the price moves in your favor, based on a user-defined percentage.
No Repainting: Employs lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off in the request.security() function to prevent data leakage and ensure accurate backtesting and real-time signals.
Clear Visual Signals (Optional): Includes optional plotting of the MACD and Signal lines for both timeframes, with distinct colors for easy visual identification. These plots are for visual confirmation and are not required for the strategy's logic.
Suitable for Various Trading Styles: Adaptable to swing trading, day trading, and trend-following strategies across diverse markets (stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, etc.).
Fully Customizable: All parameters are adjustable, including timeframes, MACD Settings, Entry signal type and trailing stop settings.
How it Works:
MACD Calculation: The strategy calculates the MACD (using the standard formula) for both the current chart's timeframe and the specified higher timeframe.
Trend Identification: The relationship between the MACD line, Signal line, and zero line is used to determine the current trend for each timeframe.
Entry Signals: Buy/sell signals are generated based on the selected "Entry Type":
Crossover: A long signal is generated when the MACD line crosses above the Signal line, and both timeframes are in agreement (if both are enabled). A short signal is generated when the MACD line crosses below the Signal line, and both timeframes are in agreement.
Zero Cross: A long signal is generated when the MACD line crosses above the zero line, and both timeframes agree. A short signal is generated when the MACD line crosses below the zero line and both timeframes agree.
Both: Combines Crossover and Zero Cross signals.
Trailing Stop Loss (Optional): If enabled, a trailing stop loss is set at a specified percentage below (for long positions) or above (for short positions) the entry price. The stop-loss is automatically adjusted as the price moves favorably.
Exit Signals:
Without Trailing Stop: Positions are closed when the MACD signals reverse according to the selected "Entry Type" (e.g., a long position is closed when the MACD line crosses below the Signal line if using "Crossover" entries).
With Trailing Stop: Positions are closed if the price hits the trailing stop loss.
Backtesting and Optimization: The strategy automatically backtests on the chart's historical data, allowing you to assess its performance and optimize parameters for different assets and timeframes.
Example Use Cases:
Confirming Trend Strength: A trader on a 1-hour chart sees a bullish MACD crossover on the current timeframe. They check the MTF MACD strategy and see that the Daily MACD is also bullish, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
Filtering Noise: A trader using a 15-minute chart wants to avoid false signals from short-term volatility. They use the strategy with a 4-hour higher timeframe to filter out noise and only trade in the direction of the dominant trend.
Dynamic Risk Management: A trader enters a long position and enables the trailing stop loss. As the price rises, the trailing stop is automatically adjusted upwards, protecting profits. The trade is exited either when the MACD reverses or when the price hits the trailing stop.
Disclaimer:
The MACD is a lagging indicator and can produce false signals, especially in ranging markets. This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Backtest and optimize the strategy thoroughly, combine it with other technical analysis tools, and always implement sound risk management practices before using it with real capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own due diligence and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Gradient Trend Filter STRATEGY [ChartPrime/PineIndicators]This strategy is based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator developed by ChartPrime. Full credit for the concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is designed to execute trades based on the trend analysis and filtering system provided by the Gradient Trend Filter indicator. It integrates a noise-filtered trend detection system with a color-gradient visualization, helping traders identify trend strength, momentum shifts, and potential reversals.
How the Gradient Trend Filter Strategy Works
1. Noise Filtering for Smoother Trends
To reduce false signals caused by market noise, the strategy applies a three-stage smoothing function to the source price. This function ensures that trend shifts are detected more accurately, minimizing unnecessary trade entries and exits.
The filter is based on an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)-style smoothing technique.
It processes price data in three successive passes, refining the trend signal before generating trade entries.
This filtering technique helps eliminate minor fluctuations and highlights the true underlying trend.
2. Multi-Layered Trend Bands & Color-Based Trend Visualization
The Gradient Trend Filter constructs multiple trend bands around the filtered trend line, acting as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The mid-line changes color based on the trend direction:
Green for uptrends
Red for downtrends
A gradient cloud is formed around the trend line, dynamically shifting colors to provide early warning signals of trend reversals.
The outer bands function as potential support and resistance, helping traders determine stop-loss and take-profit zones.
Visualization elements used in this strategy:
Trend Filter Line → Changes color between green (bullish) and red (bearish).
Trend Cloud → Dynamically adjusts color based on trend strength.
Orange Markers → Appear when a trend shift is confirmed.
Trade Entry & Exit Conditions
This strategy automatically enters trades based on confirmed trend shifts detected by the Gradient Trend Filter.
1. Trade Entry Rules
Long Entry:
A bullish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to green).
The filtered trend value crosses above zero, confirming upward momentum.
The strategy enters a long position.
Short Entry:
A bearish trend shift is detected (trend direction changes to red).
The filtered trend value crosses below zero, confirming downward momentum.
The strategy enters a short position.
2. Trade Exit Rules
Closing a Long Position:
If a bearish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Closing a Short Position:
If a bullish trend shift occurs, the strategy closes the short position.
The trend shift markers (orange diamonds) act as a confirmation signal, reinforcing the validity of trade entries and exits.
Customization Options
This strategy allows traders to adjust key parameters for flexibility in different market conditions:
Trade Direction: Choose between Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short .
Trend Length: Modify the length of the smoothing function to adapt to different timeframes.
Line Width & Colors: Customize the visual appearance of trend lines and cloud colors.
Performance Table: Enable or disable the equity performance table that tracks historical trade results.
Performance Tracking & Reporting
A built-in performance table is included to monitor monthly and yearly trading performance.
The table calculates monthly percentage returns, displaying them in a structured format.
Color-coded values highlight profitable months (blue) and losing months (red).
Tracks yearly cumulative performance to assess long-term strategy effectiveness.
Traders can use this feature to evaluate historical performance trends and optimize their strategy settings accordingly.
How to Use This Strategy
Identify Trend Strength & Reversals:
Use the trend line and cloud color changes to assess trend strength and detect potential reversals.
Monitor Momentum Shifts:
Pay attention to gradient cloud color shifts, as they often appear before the trend line changes color.
This can indicate early momentum weakening or strengthening.
Act on Trend Shift Markers:
Use orange diamonds as confirmation signals for trend shifts and trade entry/exit points.
Utilize Cloud Bands as Support/Resistance:
The outer bands of the cloud serve as dynamic support and resistance, helping with stop-loss and take-profit placement.
Considerations & Limitations
Trend Lag: Since the strategy applies a smoothing function, entries may be slightly delayed compared to raw price action.
Volatile Market Conditions: In high-volatility markets, trend shifts may occur more frequently, leading to higher trade frequency.
Optimized for Trend Trading: This strategy is best suited for trending markets and may produce false signals in sideways (ranging) conditions.
Conclusion
The Gradient Trend Filter Strategy is a trend-following system based on the Gradient Trend Filter indicator by ChartPrime. It integrates noise filtering, trend visualization, and gradient-based color shifts to help traders identify strong market trends and potential reversals.
By combining trend filtering with a multi-layered cloud system, the strategy provides clear trade signals while minimizing noise. Traders can use this strategy for long-term trend trading, momentum shifts, and support/resistance-based decision-making.
This strategy is a fully automated system that allows traders to execute long, short, or both directions, with customizable settings to adapt to different market conditions.
Credit for the original concept and indicator goes to ChartPrime.
Simple APF Strategy Backtesting [The Quant Science]Simple backtesting strategy for the quantitative indicator Autocorrelation Price Forecasting. This is a Buy & Sell strategy that operates exclusively with long orders. It opens long positions and generates profit based on the future price forecast provided by the indicator. It's particularly suitable for trend-following trading strategies or directional markets with an established trend.
Main functions
1. Cycle Detection: Utilize autocorrelation to identify repetitive market behaviors and cycles.
2. Forecasting for Backtesting: Simulate trades and assess the profitability of various strategies based on future price predictions.
Logic
The strategy works as follow:
Entry Condition: Go long if the hypothetical gain exceeds the threshold gain (configurable by user interface).
Position Management: Sets a take-profit level based on the future price.
Position Sizing: Automatically calculates the order size as a percentage of the equity.
No Stop-Loss: this strategy doesn't includes any stop loss.
Example Use Case
A trader analyzes a dayli period using 7 historical bars for autocorrelation.
Sets a threshold gain of 20 points using a 5% of the equity for each trade.
Evaluates the effectiveness of a long-only strategy in this period to assess its profitability and risk-adjusted performance.
User Interface
Length: Set the length of the data used in the autocorrelation price forecasting model.
Thresold Gain: Minimum value to be considered for opening trades based on future price forecast.
Order Size: percentage size of the equity used for each single trade.
Strategy Limit
This strategy does not use a stop loss. If the price continues to drop and the future price forecast is incorrect, the trader may incur a loss or have their capital locked in the losing trade.
Disclaimer!
This is a simple template. Use the code as a starting point rather than a finished solution. The script does not include important parameters, so use it solely for educational purposes or as a boilerplate.
Non-Repainting Renko Emulation Strategy [PineIndicators]Introduction: The Repainting Problem in Renko Strategies
Renko charts are widely used in technical analysis for their ability to filter out market noise and emphasize price trends. Unlike traditional candlestick charts, which are based on fixed time intervals, Renko charts construct bricks only when price moves by a predefined amount. This makes them useful for trend identification while reducing small fluctuations.
However, Renko-based trading strategies often fail in live trading due to a fundamental issue: repainting .
Why Do Renko Strategies Repaint?
Most trading platforms, including TradingView, generate Renko charts retrospectively based on historical price data. This leads to the following issues:
Renko bricks can change or disappear when new data arrives.
Backtesting results do not reflect real market conditions. Strategies may appear highly profitable in backtests because historical data is recalculated with hindsight.
Live trading produces different results than backtesting. Traders cannot know in advance whether a new Renko brick will form until price moves far enough.
Objective of the Renko Emulator
This script simulates Renko behavior on a standard time-based chart without repainting. Instead of using TradingView’s built-in Renko charting, which recalculates past bricks, this approach ensures that once a Renko brick is formed, it remains unchanged .
Key benefits:
No past bricks are recalculated or removed.
Trading strategies can execute reliably without false signals.
Renko-based logic can be applied on a time-based chart.
How the Renko Emulator Works
1. Parameter Configuration & Initialization
The script defines key user inputs and variables:
brickSize : Defines the Renko brick size in price points, adjustable by the user.
renkoPrice : Stores the closing price of the last completed Renko brick.
prevRenkoPrice : Stores the price level of the previous Renko brick.
brickDir : Tracks the direction of Renko bricks (1 = up, -1 = down).
newBrick : A boolean flag that indicates whether a new Renko brick has been formed.
brickStart : Stores the bar index at which the current Renko brick started.
2. Identifying Renko Brick Formation Without Repainting
To ensure that the strategy does not repaint, Renko calculations are performed only on confirmed bars.
The script calculates the difference between the current price and the last Renko brick level.
If the absolute price difference meets or exceeds the brick size, a new Renko brick is formed.
The new Renko price level is updated based on the number of bricks that would fit within the price movement.
The direction (brickDir) is updated , and a flag ( newBrick ) is set to indicate that a new brick has been formed.
3. Visualizing Renko Bricks on a Time-Based Chart
Since TradingView does not support live Renko charts without repainting, the script uses graphical elements to draw Renko-style bricks on a standard chart.
Each time a new Renko brick forms, a colored rectangle (box) is drawn:
Green boxes → Represent bullish Renko bricks.
Red boxes → Represent bearish Renko bricks.
This allows traders to see Renko-like formations on a time-based chart, while ensuring that past bricks do not change.
Trading Strategy Implementation
Since the Renko emulator provides a stable price structure, it is possible to apply a consistent trading strategy that would otherwise fail on a traditional Renko chart.
1. Entry Conditions
A long trade is entered when:
The previous Renko brick was bearish .
The new Renko brick confirms an upward trend .
There is no existing long position .
A short trade is entered when:
The previous Renko brick was bullish .
The new Renko brick confirms a downward trend .
There is no existing short position .
2. Exit Conditions
Trades are closed when a trend reversal is detected:
Long trades are closed when a new bearish brick forms.
Short trades are closed when a new bullish brick forms.
Key Characteristics of This Approach
1. No Historical Recalculation
Once a Renko brick forms, it remains fixed and does not change.
Past price action does not shift based on future data.
2. Trading Strategies Operate Consistently
Since the Renko structure is stable, strategies can execute without unexpected changes in signals.
Live trading results align more closely with backtesting performance.
3. Allows Renko Analysis Without Switching Chart Types
Traders can apply Renko logic without leaving a standard time-based chart.
This enables integration with indicators that normally cannot be used on traditional Renko charts.
Considerations When Using This Strategy
Trade execution may be delayed compared to standard Renko charts. Since new bricks are only confirmed on closed bars, entries may occur slightly later.
Brick size selection is important. A smaller brickSize results in more frequent trades, while a larger brickSize reduces signals.
Conclusion
This Renko Emulation Strategy provides a method for using Renko-based trading strategies on a time-based chart without repainting. By ensuring that bricks do not change once formed, it allows traders to use stable Renko logic while avoiding the issues associated with traditional Renko charts.
This approach enables accurate backtesting and reliable live execution, making it suitable for trend-following and swing trading strategies that rely on Renko price action.
Dynamic Breakout Master by tradingbauhaus 🌟 Code Description:
This Pine Script implements a trading strategy called "Dynamic Breakout Master" 💥. The core idea of the strategy is to identify breakouts (price movements) at key support 💙 and resistance 🔴 levels, through a dynamic channel that adapts to the market’s conditions. Here's how it works:
🔧 Customizable Input Parameters:
🧭 Pivot Period: This defines the number of bars (candles) to the left and right used to detect pivots (highs and lows) that mark the support and resistance zones.
📊 Data Source: You can choose whether to use highs and lows or closes and opens of the candles to identify the pivots.
📏 Max Channel Width: Specifies the maximum width allowed for the support/resistance channel, expressed as a percentage over the last 300 bars.
💪 Minimum Pivot Strength: This defines the minimum number of pivots needed for a support or resistance level to be considered valid.
🏔 Max Support/Resistance Zones: Limits the number of key zones displayed on the chart.
📅 Lookback Period: Adjusts how many bars back the system should check to find and validate support and resistance levels.
🎨 Custom Colors: You can choose colors for the support, resistance, and in-channel zones.
📉 Moving Averages (MA): The strategy allows adding up to two moving averages (SMA or EMA) to assist in making trading decisions.
📊 Calculating Support/Resistance Levels:
The system uses an algorithm to identify pivots from prices and calculates dynamic support and resistance zones 🔒🔓.
The closer the pivots are and the stronger their influence, the more relevant the zone becomes for the strategy.
The dynamic channel is drawn on the chart, with a maximum width limit for these zones defined by the input parameter.
📈 Trading Logic:
🚀 Identifying Breakouts:
The strategy looks for when the price breaks (breakouts) a resistance or support level.
If the price breaks upward through the resistance level, a buy order 📈 is triggered.
If the price breaks downward through the support level, a sell order 📉 is triggered.
🔔 Alerts:
Resistance Break (ResBreak) and Support Break (SupBreak) alerts are configured to notify users when a significant breakout occurs.
💰 Commissions:
The strategy includes a commission (0.1%) to simulate transaction costs for each trade.
📊 Chart Visualization:
The support and resistance zones are displayed as colored rectangles:
🔴 Resistance (red) and
🔵 Support (blue).
Pivots of support and resistance can be labeled as P (for resistance) and V (for support).
Breakouts of support or resistance levels are marked with triangles that appear on the chart 🔺🔻.
📈 Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks upward through the resistance level, a long position (buy) 📈 is opened.
If the price breaks downward through the support level, a short position (sell) 📉 is opened.
🏆 Conclusion:
This script is a dynamic breakout strategy 💥 that allows traders to capture significant price movements when support or resistance channels break. The customizable parameters let users fine-tune the strategy according to their preferences, while the visual alerts on the chart make it easier to follow trading opportunities. The inclusion of moving averages and key price zones adds an extra layer of analysis to improve decision-making 💡.
Boilerplate Configurable Strategy [Yosiet]This is a Boilerplate Code!
Hello! First of all, let me introduce myself a little bit. I don't come from the world of finance, but from the world of information and communication technologies (ICT) where we specialize in data processing with the aim of automating it and eliminating all human factors and actors in the processes. You could say that I am an algotrader.
That said, in my journey through trading in recent years I have understood that this world is often shown to be incomplete. All those who want to learn about trading only end up learning a small part of what it really entails, they only seek to learn how to read candlesticks. Therefore, I want to share with the entire community a fraction of what I have really understood it to be.
As a computer scientist, the most important thing is the data, it is the raw material of our work and without data you simply cannot do anything. Entropy is simple: Data in -> Data is transformed -> Data out.
The quality of the outgoing data will directly depend on the incoming data, there is no greater mystery or magic in the process. In trading it is no different, because at the end of the day it is nothing more than data. As we often say, if garbage comes in, garbage comes out.
Most people focus on the results only, on the outgoing data, because in the end we all want the same thing, to make easy money. Very few pay attention to the input data, much less to the process.
Now, I am not here to delude you, because there is no bigger lie than easy money, but I am here to give you a boilerplate code that will help you create strategies where you only have to concentrate on the quality of the incoming data.
To the Point
The code is a strategy boilerplate that applies the technique that you decide to customize for the criteria for opening a position. It already has the other factors involved in trading programmed and automated.
1. The Entry
This section of the boilerplate is the one that each individual must customize according to their needs and knowledge. The code is offered with two simple, well-known strategies to exemplify how the code can be reused for your own benefits.
For the purposes of this post on tradingview, I am going to use the simplest of the known strategies in trading for entries: SMA Crossing
// SMA Cross Settings
maFast = ta.sma(close, length)
maSlow = ta.sma(open, length)
The Strategy Properties for all cases published here:
For Stock TSLA H1 From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
For Crypto XMR-USDT 30m From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
For Forex EUR-USD 5m From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
But the goal of this post is not to sell you a dream, else to show you that the same Entry decision works very well for some and does not for others and with this boilerplate code you only have to think of entries, not exits.
2. Schedules, Days, Sessions
As you know, there are an infinite number of markets that are susceptible to the sessions of each country and the news that they announce during those sessions, so the code already offers parameters so that you can condition the days and hours of operation, filter the best time parameters for a specific market and time frame.
3. Data Filtering
The data offered in trading are numerical series presented in vectors on a time axis where an endless number of mathematical equations can be applied to process them, with matrix calculation and non-linear regressions being the best, in my humble opinion.
4. Read Fundamental Macroeconomic Events, News
The boilerplate has integration with the tradingview SDK to detect when news will occur and offers parameters so that you can enable an exclusion time margin to not operate anything during that time window.
5. Direction and Sense
In my experience I have found the peculiarity that the same algorithm works very well for a market in a time frame, but for the same market in another time frame it is only a waste of time and money. So now you can easily decide if you only want to open LONG, SHORT or both side positions and know how effective your strategy really is.
6. Reading the money, THE PURPOSE OF EVERYTHING
The most important section in trading and the reason why many clients usually hire me as a financial programmer, is reading and controlling the money, because in the end everyone wants to win and no one wants to lose. Now they can easily parameterize how the money should flow and this is the genius of this boilerplate, because it is what will really decide if an algorithm (Indicator: A bunch of math equations) for entries will really leave you good money over time.
7. Managing the Risk, The Ego Destroyer
Many trades, little money. Most traders focus on making money and none of them know about statistics and the few who do know something about it, only focus on the winrate. Well, with this code you can unlock what really matters, the true success criteria to be able to live off of trading: Profit Factor, Sortino Ratio, Sharpe Ratio and most importantly, will you really make money?
8. Managing Emotions
Finally, the main reason why many lose money is because they are very bad at managing their emotions, because with this they will no longer need to do so because the boilerplate has already programmed criteria to chase the price in a position, cut losses and maximize profits.
In short, this is a boilerplate code that already has the data processing and data output ready, you only have to worry about the data input.
“And so the trader learned: the greatest edge was not in predicting the storm, but in building a boat that could not sink.”
DISCLAIMER
This post is intended for programmers and quantitative traders who already have a certain level of knowledge and experience. It is not intended to be financial advice or to sell you any money-making script, if you use it, you do so at your own risk.
Arpeet MACDOverview
This strategy is based on the zero-lag version of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator, which captures short-term trends by quickly responding to price changes, enabling high-frequency trading. The strategy uses two moving averages with different periods (fast and slow lines) to construct the MACD indicator and introduces a zero-lag algorithm to eliminate the delay between the indicator and the price, improving the timeliness of signals. Additionally, the crossover of the signal line and the MACD line is used as buy and sell signals, and alerts are set up to help traders seize trading opportunities in a timely manner.
Strategy Principle
Calculate the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) or SMA (Simple Moving Average) of the fast line (default 12 periods) and slow line (default 26 periods).
Use the zero-lag algorithm to double-smooth the fast and slow lines, eliminating the delay between the indicator and the price.
The MACD line is formed by the difference between the zero-lag fast line and the zero-lag slow line.
The signal line is formed by the EMA (default 9 periods) or SMA of the MACD line.
The MACD histogram is formed by the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, with blue representing positive values and red representing negative values.
When the MACD line crosses the signal line from below and the crossover point is below the zero axis, a buy signal (blue dot) is generated.
When the MACD line crosses the signal line from above and the crossover point is above the zero axis, a sell signal (red dot) is generated.
The strategy automatically places orders based on the buy and sell signals and triggers corresponding alerts.
Advantage Analysis
The zero-lag algorithm effectively eliminates the delay between the indicator and the price, improving the timeliness and accuracy of signals.
The design of dual moving averages can better capture market trends and adapt to different market environments.
The MACD histogram intuitively reflects the comparison of bullish and bearish forces, assisting in trading decisions.
The automatic order placement and alert functions make it convenient for traders to seize trading opportunities in a timely manner, improving trading efficiency.
Risk Analysis
In volatile markets, frequent crossover signals may lead to overtrading and losses.
Improper parameter settings may cause signal distortion and affect strategy performance.
The strategy relies on historical data for calculations and has poor adaptability to sudden events and black swan events.
Optimization Direction
Introduce trend confirmation indicators, such as ADX, to filter out false signals in volatile markets.
Optimize parameters to find the best combination of fast and slow line periods and signal line periods, improving strategy stability.
Combine other technical indicators or fundamental factors to construct a multi-factor model, improving risk-adjusted returns of the strategy.
Introduce stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms to control single-trade risk.
Summary
The MACD Dual Crossover Zero Lag Trading Strategy achieves high-frequency trading by quickly responding to price changes and capturing short-term trends. The zero-lag algorithm and dual moving average design improve the timeliness and accuracy of signals. The strategy has certain advantages, such as intuitive signals and convenient operation, but also faces risks such as overtrading and parameter sensitivity. In the future, the strategy can be optimized by introducing trend confirmation indicators, parameter optimization, multi-factor models, etc., to improve the robustness and profitability of the strategy.
Gold Pro StrategyHere’s the strategy description in a chat format:
---
**Gold (XAU/USD) Trend-Following Strategy**
This **trend-following strategy** is designed for trading gold (XAU/USD) by combining moving averages, MACD momentum indicators, and RSI filters to capture sustained trends while managing volatility risks. The strategy uses volatility-adjusted stops to protect gains and prevent overexposure during erratic price movements. The aim is to take advantage of trending markets by confirming momentum and ensuring entries are not made at extreme levels.
---
**Key Components**
1. **Trend Identification**
- **50 vs 200 EMA Crossover**
- **Bullish Trend:** 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA, and the price closes above the 200 EMA
- **Bearish Trend:** 50 EMA crosses below 200 EMA, and the price closes below the 200 EMA
2. **Momentum Confirmation**
- **MACD (12,26,9)**
- **Buy Signal:** MACD line crosses above the signal line
- **Sell Signal:** MACD line crosses below the signal line
- **RSI (14 Period)**
- **Bullish Zone:** RSI between 50-70 to avoid overbought conditions
- **Bearish Zone:** RSI between 30-50 to avoid oversold conditions
3. **Entry Criteria**
- **Long Entry:** Bullish trend, MACD bullish crossover, and RSI between 50-70
- **Short Entry:** Bearish trend, MACD bearish crossover, and RSI between 30-50
4. **Exit & Risk Management**
- **ATR Trailing Stops (14 Period):**
- Initial Stop: 3x ATR from entry price
- Trailing Stop: Adjusts to lock in profits as price moves favorably
- **Position Sizing:** 100% of equity per trade (high-risk strategy)
---
**Key Logic Flow**
1. **Trend Filter:** Use the 50/200 EMA relationship to define the market's direction
2. **Momentum Confirmation:** Confirm trend momentum with MACD crossovers
3. **RSI Validation:** Ensure RSI is within non-extreme ranges before entering trades
4. **Volatility-Based Risk Management:** Use ATR stops to manage market volatility
---
**Visual Cues**
- **Blue Line:** 50 EMA
- **Red Line:** 200 EMA
- **Green Triangles:** Long entry signals
- **Red Triangles:** Short entry signals
---
**Strengths**
- **Clear Trend Focus:** Avoids counter-trend trades
- **RSI Filter:** Prevents entering overbought or oversold conditions
- **ATR Stops:** Adapts to gold’s inherent volatility
- **Simple Rules:** Easy to follow with minimal inputs
---
**Weaknesses & Risks**
- **Infrequent Signals:** 50/200 EMA crossovers are rare
- **Potential Missed Opportunities:** Strict RSI criteria may miss some valid trends
- **Aggressive Position Sizing:** 100% equity allocation can lead to large drawdowns
- **No Profit Targets:** Relies on trailing stops rather than defined exit targets
---
**Performance Profile**
| Metric | Expected Range |
|----------------------|---------------------|
| Annual Trades | 4-8 |
| Win Rate | 55-65% |
| Max Drawdown | 25-35% |
| Profit Factor | 1.8-2.5 |
---
**Optimization Recommendations**
1. **Increase Trade Frequency**
Adjust the EMAs to shorter periods:
- `emaFastLen = input.int(30, "Fast EMA")`
- `emaSlowLen = input.int(150, "Slow EMA")`
2. **Relax RSI Filters**
Adjust the RSI range to:
- `rsiBullish = rsi > 45 and rsi < 75`
- `rsiBearish = rsi < 55 and rsi > 25`
3. **Add Profit Targets**
Introduce a profit target at 1.5% above entry:
```pine
strategy.exit("Long Exit", "Long",
stop=longStopPrice,
profit=close*1.015, // 1.5% target
trail_offset=trailOffset)
```
4. **Reduce Position Sizing**
Risk a smaller percentage per trade:
- `default_qty_value=25`
---
**Best Use Case**
This strategy excels in **strong trending markets** such as gold rallies during economic or geopolitical crises. However, during sideways or choppy market conditions, the strategy might require manual intervention to avoid false signals. Additionally, integrating fundamental analysis—like monitoring USD weakness or geopolitical risks—can enhance its effectiveness.
---
This strategy offers a balanced approach for trading gold, combining trend-following principles with risk management tailored to the volatility of the market.
Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM)The Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM) is a systematic trading approach grounded in momentum and volatility analysis, designed to exploit behavioral inefficiencies in the equity markets. It focuses on the NYSE Down Ticks, a metric reflecting the cumulative number of stocks trading at a lower price than their previous trade. As a proxy for market sentiment and selling pressure, this indicator is particularly useful in identifying shifts in investor behavior during periods of heightened uncertainty or volatility (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Theoretical Basis
The DTOM builds on established principles of momentum and mean reversion in financial markets. Momentum strategies, which seek to capitalize on the persistence of price trends, have been shown to deliver significant returns in various asset classes (Carhart, 1997). However, these strategies are also susceptible to periods of drawdown due to sudden reversals. By incorporating volatility as a dynamic component, DTOM adapts to changing market conditions, addressing one of the primary challenges of traditional momentum models (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Sentiment and Volatility as Core Drivers
The NYSE Down Ticks serve as a proxy for short-term negative sentiment. Sudden increases in Down Ticks often signal panic-driven selling, creating potential opportunities for mean reversion. Behavioral finance studies suggest that investor overreaction to negative news can lead to temporary mispricings, which systematic strategies can exploit (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By incorporating a rate-of-change (ROC) oscillator into the model, DTOM tracks the momentum of Down Ticks over a specified lookback period, identifying periods of extreme sentiment.
In addition, the strategy dynamically adjusts entry and exit thresholds based on recent volatility. Research indicates that incorporating volatility into momentum strategies can enhance risk-adjusted returns by improving adaptability to market conditions (Moskowitz, Ooi, & Pedersen, 2012). DTOM uses standard deviations of the ROC as a measure of volatility, allowing thresholds to contract during calm markets and expand during turbulent ones. This approach helps mitigate false signals and aligns with findings that volatility scaling can improve strategy robustness (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Practical Implications
The DTOM framework is particularly well-suited for systematic traders seeking to exploit behavioral inefficiencies while maintaining adaptability to varying market environments. By leveraging sentiment metrics such as the NYSE Down Ticks and combining them with a volatility-adjusted momentum oscillator, the strategy addresses key limitations of traditional trend-following models, such as their lagging nature and susceptibility to reversals in volatile conditions.
References
• Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum Has Its Moments. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 111–120.
• Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57–82.
• De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793–805.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91.
• Moskowitz, T. J., Ooi, Y. H., & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228–250.
Turn of the Month Strategy on Steroids█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Turn of the Month Strategy on Steroids" is a seasonal mean-reversion strategy designed to capitalize on price movements around the end of the month. It enters a long position when specific conditions are met and exits when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions. This strategy is optimized for use on daily or higher timeframes.
█ WHAT IS THE TURN OF THE MONTH EFFECT?
The Turn of the Month effect refers to the observed tendency of stock prices to rise around the end of the month. This strategy leverages this phenomenon by entering long positions when the price shows signs of a reversal during this period.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY
A Buy Signal is triggered when:
The current day of the month is greater than or equal to the specified `dayOfMonth` threshold (default is 25).
The close price is lower than the previous day's close (`close < close `).
The previous day's close is also lower than the close two days ago (`close < close `).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
There is no existing open position (`strategy.position_size == 0`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the 2-period RSI exceeds 65, indicating overbought conditions. This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Day of Month: The day of the month threshold for triggering a Buy Signal. Default is 25.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed to exploit seasonal price patterns around the end of the month.
It performs best in markets where the Turn of the Month effect is pronounced.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the `dayOfMonth` threshold and RSI parameters for specific instruments.
Systematic Risk Aggregation ModelThe “Systematic Risk Aggregation Model” is a quantitative trading strategy implemented in Pine Script™ designed to assess and visualize market risk by aggregating multiple financial risk factors. This model uses a multi-dimensional scoring approach to quantify systemic risk, incorporating volatility, drawdowns, put/call ratios, tail risk, volume spikes, and the Sharpe ratio. It derives a composite risk score, which is dynamically smoothed and plotted alongside adaptive Bollinger Bands to identify trading opportunities. The strategy’s theoretical framework aligns with modern portfolio theory and risk management literature (Markowitz, 1952; Taleb, 2007).
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Key Components of the Model
1. Volatility as a Risk Proxy
The model calculates the standard deviation of the closing price over a specified period (volatility_length) to quantify market uncertainty. Volatility is normalized to a score between 0 and 100, using its historical minimum and maximum values.
Reference: Volatility has long been regarded as a critical measure of financial risk and uncertainty in capital markets (Hull, 2008).
2. Drawdown Assessment
The drawdown metric captures the relative distance of the current price from the highest price over the specified period (drawdown_length). This is converted into a normalized score to reflect the magnitude of recent losses.
Reference: Drawdown is a key metric in risk management, often used to measure potential downside risk in portfolios (Maginn et al., 2007).
3. Put/Call Ratio as a Sentiment Indicator
The strategy integrates the put/call ratio, sourced from an external symbol, to assess market sentiment. High values often indicate bearish sentiment, while low values suggest bullish sentiment (Whaley, 2000). The score is normalized similarly to other metrics.
4. Tail Risk via Modified Z-Score
Tail risk is approximated using the modified Z-score, which measures the deviation of the closing price from its moving average relative to its standard deviation. This approach captures extreme price movements and potential “black swan” events.
Reference: Taleb (2007) discusses the importance of considering tail risks in financial systems.
5. Volume Spikes as a Proxy for Market Activity
A volume spike is defined as the ratio of current volume to its moving average. This ratio is normalized into a score, reflecting unusual trading activity, which may signal market turning points.
Reference: Volume analysis is a foundational tool in technical analysis and is often linked to price momentum (Murphy, 1999).
6. Sharpe Ratio for Risk-Adjusted Returns
The Sharpe ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of the asset, using the mean log return divided by its standard deviation over the same period. This ratio is transformed into a score, reflecting the attractiveness of returns relative to risk.
Reference: Sharpe (1966) introduced the Sharpe ratio as a standard measure of portfolio performance.
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Composite Risk Score
The composite risk score is calculated as a weighted average of the individual risk factors:
• Volatility: 30%
• Drawdown: 20%
• Put/Call Ratio: 20%
• Tail Risk (Z-Score): 15%
• Volume Spike: 10%
• Sharpe Ratio: 5%
This aggregation captures the multi-dimensional nature of systemic risk and provides a unified measure of market conditions.
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Dynamic Bands with Bollinger Bands
The composite risk score is smoothed using a moving average and bounded by Bollinger Bands (basis ± 2 standard deviations). These bands provide dynamic thresholds for identifying overbought and oversold market conditions:
• Upper Band: Signals overbought conditions, where risk is elevated.
• Lower Band: Indicates oversold conditions, where risk subsides.
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Trading Strategy
The strategy operates on the following rules:
1. Entry Condition: Enter a long position when the risk score crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating elevated market activity.
2. Exit Condition: Close the long position when the risk score drops below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a reduction in risk.
These conditions are consistent with momentum-based strategies and adaptive risk control.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conclusion
This script exemplifies a systematic approach to risk aggregation, leveraging multiple dimensions of financial risk to create a robust trading strategy. By incorporating well-established risk metrics and sentiment indicators, the model offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics. Its adaptive framework makes it versatile for various market conditions, aligning with contemporary advancements in quantitative finance.
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References
1. Hull, J. C. (2008). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
2. Maginn, J. L., Tuttle, D. L., McLeavey, D. W., & Pinto, J. E. (2007). Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process. Wiley.
3. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.
4. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
5. Sharpe, W. F. (1966). Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Business, 39(1), 119–138.
6. Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House.
7. Whaley, R. E. (2000). The Investor Fear Gauge. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12–17.
EMA Crossover Strategy with Take Profit and Candle HighlightingStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), specifically the EMA 20 and EMA 50. It takes advantage of EMA crossovers to identify potential trend reversals and uses multiple take-profit levels and a stop-loss for risk management.
Key Components:
EMA Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal (Uptrend): A buy signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential uptrend.
Sell Signal (Downtrend): A sell signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential downtrend.
Take Profit Levels:
Once a buy or sell signal is triggered, the strategy calculates multiple take-profit levels based on the range of the previous candle. The user can define multipliers for each take-profit level.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 50% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 100% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 150% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 200% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
These levels are adjusted dynamically based on the previous candle's high and low, so they adapt to changing market conditions.
Stop Loss:
A stop-loss is set to manage risk. The default stop-loss is 3% from the entry price, but this can be adjusted in the settings. The stop-loss is triggered if the price moves against the position by this amount.
Trend Direction Highlighting:
The strategy highlights the bars (candles) with colors:
Green bars indicate an uptrend (when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50).
Red bars indicate a downtrend (when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50).
These visual cues help users easily identify the market direction.
Strategy Entries and Exits:
Entries: The strategy enters a long (buy) position when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 and a short (sell) position when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50.
Exits: The strategy exits the positions at any of the defined take-profit levels or the stop-loss. Multiple exit levels provide opportunities to take profit progressively as the price moves in the favorable direction.
Entry and Exit Conditions in Detail:
Buy Entry Condition (Uptrend):
A buy position is opened when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50, signaling the start of an uptrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels above the entry price based on the previous bar's range (high-low) and the multipliers for TP1, TP2, TP3, and TP4.
Sell Entry Condition (Downtrend):
A sell position is opened when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50, signaling the start of a downtrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels below the entry price, similarly based on the previous bar's range.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: The strategy attempts to exit the position at one of the take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, or TP4). If the price reaches any of these levels, the position is closed.
Stop Loss: The strategy also has a stop-loss set at a default value (3% below the entry for long trades, and 3% above for short trades). The stop-loss helps to protect the position from significant losses.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics:
The strategy can be backtested using TradingView's Strategy Tester. The results will show how the strategy would have performed historically, including key metrics like:
Net Profit
Max Drawdown
Win Rate
Profit Factor
Average Trade Duration
These performance metrics can help users assess the strategy's effectiveness over historical periods and optimize the input parameters (e.g., multipliers, stop-loss level).
Customization:
The strategy allows for the adjustment of several key input values via the settings panel:
Take Profit Multipliers: Users can customize the multipliers for each take-profit level (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4).
Stop Loss Percentage: The user can also adjust the stop-loss percentage to a custom value.
EMA Periods: The default periods for the EMA 50 and EMA 20 are fixed, but they can be adjusted for different market conditions.
Pros of the Strategy:
EMA Crossover Strategy: A classic and well-known strategy used by traders to identify the start of new trends.
Multiple Take Profit Levels: By taking profits progressively at different levels, the strategy locks in gains as the price moves in favor of the position.
Clear Trend Identification: The use of green and red bars makes it visually easier to follow the market's direction.
Risk Management: The stop-loss and take-profit features help to manage risk and optimize profit-taking.
Cons of the Strategy:
Lagging Indicators: The strategy relies on EMAs, which are lagging indicators. This means that the strategy might enter trades after the trend has already started, leading to missed opportunities or less-than-ideal entry prices.
No Confirmation Indicators: The strategy purely depends on the crossover of two EMAs and does not use other confirming indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD), which might lead to false signals in volatile markets.
How to Use in Real-Time Trading:
Use for Backtesting: Initially, use this strategy in backtest mode to understand how it would have performed historically with your preferred settings.
Paper Trading: Once comfortable, you can use paper trading to test the strategy in real-time market conditions without risking real money.
Live Trading: After testing and optimizing the strategy, you can consider using it for live trading with proper risk management in place (e.g., starting with a small position size and adjusting parameters as needed).
Summary:
This strategy is designed to identify trend reversals using EMA crossovers, with customizable take-profit levels and a stop-loss to manage risk. It's well-suited for traders looking for a systematic way to enter and exit trades based on clear market signals, while also providing flexibility to adjust for different risk profiles and trading styles.
